The Piqqem Blog

Weekly Piqqem Sentiment for Buffalo Wild Wings Moves Strongly Upward

Posted by jettwinter on February 12, 2010 in BJRI, BWLD, and CAKE.

For the week ending February 12, 2009, Buffalo Wild Wings (BWLD) saw its piqqem sentiment rise by 6 pts. Weekly movements in sentiment indicate short-term changes in the crowd perception of a stock. In the case of Buffalo Wild Wings, the trend is strongly upward.

Change in sentiment provides a timing mechanism to understand underlying changes in a security potentially ahead of a price move. For example, a large increase in sentiment should be seen as positive even if the underlying stock has a low absolute sentiment, while a large decrease in sentiment should be seen as negative even if the underlying security has a high absolute sentiment.

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Daily Piqqem Sentiment for Caterpillar Moves Upward

Posted by jettwinter on February 10, 2010 in CAT and DE.

On February 10, 2010, Caterpillar (CAT) saw its piqqem sentiment rise by 2.8 pts. Daily movements in sentiment indicate short-term changes in the crowd perception of a stock. In the case of Caterpillar, the trend is moderately upward.

Change in sentiment provides a timing mechanism to understand underlying changes in a security potentially ahead of a price move. For example, a large increase in sentiment should be seen as positive even if the underlying stock has a low absolute sentiment, while a large decrease in sentiment should be seen as negative even if the underlying security has a high absolute sentiment.

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Daily Piqqem Sentiment for Dell Computer Moves Downward

Posted by jettwinter on February 10, 2010 in DELL, IBM, and JAVA.

On February 10, 2010 Dell Computer (DELL) saw its piqqem sentiment drop by 3.7 pts. Daily movements in sentiment indicate short-term changes in the crowd perception of a stock. In the case of Dell Computer, the trend is moderately downward.

Change in sentiment provides a timing mechanism to understand underlying changes in a security potentially ahead of a price move. For example, a large increase in sentiment should be seen as positive even if the underlying stock has a low absolute sentiment, while a large decrease in sentiment should be seen as negative even if the underlying security has a high absolute sentiment.

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Activision Blizzard – Sentiment Remains Strong Ahead of Earnings

Posted by jettwinter on February 9, 2010 in ATVI, MSFT, and TTWO.

Activision Blizzard (ATVI) is scheduled to release Q4 earnings this Wednesday February 10th, after the market close.

Average analyst estimates for the WOW maker are $.44/share in EPS and $2.23 billion in Revenue.  Twenty-Seven analysts track the stock with two upward EPS revisions in the last 30 days and no downward EPS revisions in the last 30 days.

Last quarter, Activision Blizzard met average analysts expectations of .04/share.

I always find this a tough period waiting to see if the company is going meet, exceed, or miss their earnings estimates.  One thing I have discovered of value is to analyze sentiment moves in a stock ahead of the company’s earnings release.  In the case of Activision Blizzard, I will use the piqqem sentiment index for Activision Blizzard to see how sentiment has changed in the last quarter, for the months within that quarter, and from the end of the reporting quarter thru today.

 I’m looking for moves or changes that may foreshadow the earning release.  (piqqem leverages the ‘wisdom of crowds’ by allowing its users to vote on the price direction of a stock and then applies its own propriety factors to calculate sentiment for a security. In their model, -100 is the lowest and 100 is the highest sentiment).

Sentiment for Activision Blizzard

 

 

Source Piqqem

The above chart shows Activision Blizzard’s sentiment rising by 12.5 pts from the beginning of the quarter thru today.  Sentiment for the S&P was down 2 pts in the same period.  On the Piqqem scale, Activision Blizzard’s sentiment rating of 37.50 is considered a buy and its absolute sentiment indicates a high quality stock. Only Activision Blizzard knows their actual results, but their current sentiment points to Activision Blizzard releasing earnings above estimates on Wednesday.

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Daily Piqqem Sentiment for Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Moves Upward

Posted by jettwinter on February 9, 2010 in FCX and NEM.

On February 9, 2010 Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold (FCX) saw its piqqem sentiment rise by 2.8 pts. Daily movements in sentiment indicate short-term changes in the crowd perception of a stock. In the case of Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold, the trend is moderately upward.

Change in sentiment provides a timing mechanism to understand underlying changes in a security potentially ahead of a price move. For example, a large increase in sentiment should be seen as positive even if the underlying stock has a low absolute sentiment, while a large decrease in sentiment should be seen as negative even if the underlying security has a high absolute sentiment.

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Daily Piqqem Sentiment for Mattel Moves Upward

Posted by jettwinter on February 9, 2010 in HAS and MAT.

On February 9, 2010 Mattel (MAT) saw its piqqem sentiment rise by 4.2 pts. Daily movements in sentiment indicate short-term changes in the crowd perception of a stock. In the case of Mattel, the trend is moderately upward.

Change in sentiment provides a timing mechanism to understand underlying changes in a security potentially ahead of a price move. For example, a large increase in sentiment should be seen as positive even if the underlying stock has a low absolute sentiment, while a large decrease in sentiment should be seen as negative even if the underlying security has a high absolute sentiment.

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Camden Properties, Mattel, Pfizer lead Sentiment Losers for Week Ending 02/05/10

Posted by jettwinter on February 5, 2010 in BMY, CPT, MAT, MRK, and PFE.

For the week ending February 5, 2010, Camden Properties (CPT) was biggest sentiment loser with a steep 12 point decrease in their Piqqem sentiment index, Mattel (MAT) came in at second with a disappointing 6 pt decrease in sentiment, and Pfizer (PFE) also had their sentiment drop by 6 pts. Overall Piqqem had 104 stocks advancing in sentiment while 130 stocks saw their sentiment decline.

Change in sentiment provides a timing mechanism to understand underlying changes in a security potentially ahead of a price move. For example, a large increase in sentiment should be seen as positive even if the underlying stock has a low absolute sentiment, while a large decrease in sentiment should be seen as negative even if the underlying security has a high absolute sentiment.

For this analysis, we will use sentiment generated by the web application, Piqqem. Piqqem captures, processes, and displays sentiment results by allowing its users to vote on the price direction of a stock and then applies its own propriety factors to calculate sentiment for a security. In their model, a scale of -100 to 100 is used with -100 representing the lowest level of sentiment and 100 representing the highest level of sentiment.

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Sequenom, Maguire Properties, Activision Blizzard Lead Sentiment Gainers for Week Ending 02/05/10

Posted by jettwinter on February 5, 2010 in ATVI, AFFX, MPG, SQNM, and TTWO.

For the week ending February 5, 2010, Sequenom (SQNM)  lead all sentiment gainers with a strong 16 pt increase in their Piqqem sentiment index, Maguire Properties  (MPG) came in second  with an impressive  8 pt increase in sentiment, and Activision Blizzard (ATVI) saw their sentiment increase by 5 pts.  Overall Piqqem had 104 stocks advancing in sentiment while 130 stocks saw their sentiment decline.

Change in sentiment provides a timing mechanism to understand underlying changes in a security potentially ahead of a price move. For example, a large increase in sentiment should be seen as positive even if the underlying stock has a low absolute sentiment, while a large decrease in sentiment should be seen as negative even if the underlying security has a high absolute sentiment.

For this analysis, we will use sentiment generated by the web application, Piqqem. Piqqem captures, processes, and displays sentiment results by allowing its users to vote on the price direction of a stock and then applies its own propriety factors to calculate sentiment for a security. In their model, a scale of -100 to 100 is used with -100 representing the lowest level of sentiment and 100 representing the highest level of sentiment.

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Electronic Arts – Sentiment Heads Down Ahead of Earnings

Posted by jettwinter on February 4, 2010 in ATVI, ERTS, MSFT, and TTWO.

Electronic Arts (ERTS) is scheduled to release Q3 earnings this Monday February 8, after the market closes.

Average analyst estimates for the electronic game maker are $.31/share in EPS and $1.34 billion in Revenue.  Twenty-Six analysts track the stock with one upward EPS revision in the last 30 days and no downward EPS revisions in the last 30 days.

Last quarter, Electronic Arts missed average analysts expectations by .01/share or 14.3%, .06/share vs. .07/share.

I always find this a tough period waiting to see if the company is going meet, exceed, or miss their earnings estimates.  One thing I have discovered of value is to analyze sentiment moves in a stock ahead of the company’s earnings release.  In the case of Electronic Arts, I will use the piqqem sentiment index for Electronic Arts to see how sentiment has changed in the last quarter, for the months within that quarter, and from the end of the reporting quarter thru today.

 I’m looking for moves or changes that may foreshadow the earning release.  (piqqem leverages the ‘wisdom of crowds’ by allowing its users to vote on the price direction of a stock and then applies its own propriety factors to calculate sentiment for a security. In their model, -100 is the lowest and 100 is the highest sentiment).

Sentiment for Electronic Arts

 

Source Piqqem

The above chart shows Electronic Arts’ sentiment peaking on October 31, 2009 and then dropping by 13 pts thru today. The chart also shows a 7 pt decrease in sentiment from the end of Q4 thru today. This last indicator has historically been the most accurate indicator regarding an earnings surprise, both upside and downside. Sentiment for the S&P is down 2 pts this year, so some of Electronic Arts downward movement in sentiment can be attributed to market, but most of the drop can be linked directly to ERTS. On the Piqqem scale, Electronic Arts’ sentiment rating of 15.26 is considered a hold and its absolute sentiment indicates a moderate quality stock. Only Electronic Arts knows their actual results, but their current sentiment points to Electronic Arts having a tough third quarter.

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Sprint, BB & T, AIG Lead Sentiment Gainers for Week Ending 01/29/10

Posted by jettwinter on January 30, 2010 in AIG, BBT, and S.

For the week ending January 29, 2010 Sprint (S) lead all sentiment gainers with a strong 30 pt increase in their Piqqem sentiment index, BB&T  (BBT) came in second  with an impressive  27 pt increase in sentiment, and AIG (AIG) saw their sentiment increase by 25 pts.

Change in sentiment provides a timing mechanism to understand underlying changes in a security potentially ahead of a price move. For example, a large increase in sentiment should be seen as positive even if the underlying stock has a low absolute sentiment, while a large decrease in sentiment should be seen as negative even if the underlying security has a high absolute sentiment.

For this analysis, we will use sentiment generated by the web application, Piqqem. Piqqem captures, processes, and displays sentiment results by allowing its users to vote on the price direction of a stock and then applies its own propriety factors to calculate sentiment for a security. In their model, a scale of -100 to 100 is used with -100 representing the lowest level of sentiment and 100 representing the highest level of sentiment.

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