For the week ending February 5, 2010, Camden Properties (CPT) was biggest sentiment loser with a steep 12 point decrease in their Piqqem sentiment index, Mattel (MAT) came in at second with a disappointing 6 pt decrease in sentiment, and Pfizer (PFE) also had their sentiment drop by 6 pts. Overall Piqqem had 104 stocks advancing in sentiment while 130 stocks saw their sentiment decline.
Change in sentiment provides a timing mechanism to understand underlying changes in a security potentially ahead of a price move. For example, a large increase in sentiment should be seen as positive even if the underlying stock has a low absolute sentiment, while a large decrease in sentiment should be seen as negative even if the underlying security has a high absolute sentiment.
For this analysis, we will use sentiment generated by the web application, Piqqem. Piqqem captures, processes, and displays sentiment results by allowing its users to vote on the price direction of a stock and then applies its own propriety factors to calculate sentiment for a security. In their model, a scale of -100 to 100 is used with -100 representing the lowest level of sentiment and 100 representing the highest level of sentiment.
For the week ending February 5, 2010, Sequenom (SQNM) lead all sentiment gainers with a strong 16 pt increase in their Piqqem sentiment index, Maguire Properties (MPG) came in second with an impressive 8 pt increase in sentiment, and Activision Blizzard (ATVI) saw their sentiment increase by 5 pts. Overall Piqqem had 104 stocks advancing in sentiment while 130 stocks saw their sentiment decline.
Change in sentiment provides a timing mechanism to understand underlying changes in a security potentially ahead of a price move. For example, a large increase in sentiment should be seen as positive even if the underlying stock has a low absolute sentiment, while a large decrease in sentiment should be seen as negative even if the underlying security has a high absolute sentiment.
For this analysis, we will use sentiment generated by the web application, Piqqem. Piqqem captures, processes, and displays sentiment results by allowing its users to vote on the price direction of a stock and then applies its own propriety factors to calculate sentiment for a security. In their model, a scale of -100 to 100 is used with -100 representing the lowest level of sentiment and 100 representing the highest level of sentiment.
Electronic Arts (ERTS) is scheduled to release Q3 earnings this Monday February 8, after the market closes.
Average analyst estimates for the electronic game maker are $.31/share in EPS and $1.34 billion in Revenue.Twenty-Six analysts track the stock with one upward EPS revision in the last 30 days and no downward EPS revisions in the last 30 days.
Last quarter, Electronic Arts missed average analysts expectations by .01/share or 14.3%, .06/share vs. .07/share.
I always find this a tough period waiting to see if the company is going meet, exceed, or miss their earnings estimates.One thing I have discovered of value is to analyze sentiment moves in a stock ahead of the company’s earnings release.In the case of Electronic Arts, I will use the piqqem sentiment index for Electronic Arts to see how sentiment has changed in the last quarter, for the months within that quarter, and from the end of the reporting quarter thru today.
I’m looking for moves or changes that may foreshadow the earning release.(piqqem leverages the ‘wisdom of crowds’ by allowing its users to vote on the price direction of a stock and then applies its own propriety factors to calculate sentiment for a security. In their model, -100 is the lowest and 100 is the highest sentiment).
The above chart shows Electronic Arts’ sentiment peaking on October 31, 2009 and then dropping by 13 pts thru today. The chart also shows a 7 pt decrease in sentiment from the end of Q4 thru today. This last indicator has historically been the most accurate indicator regarding an earnings surprise, both upside and downside. Sentiment for the S&P is down 2 pts this year, so some of Electronic Arts downward movement in sentiment can be attributed to market, but most of the drop can be linked directly to ERTS. On the Piqqem scale, Electronic Arts’ sentiment rating of 15.26 is considered a hold and its absolute sentiment indicates a moderate quality stock. Only Electronic Arts knows their actual results, but their current sentiment points to Electronic Arts having a tough third quarter.
For the week ending January 29, 2010 Sprint (S) lead all sentiment gainers with a strong 30 pt increase in their Piqqem sentiment index, BB&T (BBT) came in second with an impressive 27 pt increase in sentiment, and AIG (AIG) saw their sentiment increase by 25 pts.
Change in sentiment provides a timing mechanism to understand underlying changes in a security potentially ahead of a price move. For example, a large increase in sentiment should be seen as positive even if the underlying stock has a low absolute sentiment, while a large decrease in sentiment should be seen as negative even if the underlying security has a high absolute sentiment.
For this analysis, we will use sentiment generated by the web application, Piqqem. Piqqem captures, processes, and displays sentiment results by allowing its users to vote on the price direction of a stock and then applies its own propriety factors to calculate sentiment for a security. In their model, a scale of -100 to 100 is used with -100 representing the lowest level of sentiment and 100 representing the highest level of sentiment.
For the month ending January 29, 2010 Wynn (WYNN) saw its sentiment grow by 25 pts from 12.5 to 37.50 – representing a 3x growth rate. A sentiment rating of 37.5 indicates a buy and this kind of sentiment growth implies a lot of positive energy and momentum in the stock. There have also been some positive analyst upgrades including the one from UBS earlier this week.
Change in sentiment provides a timing mechanism to understand underlying changes in a security potentially ahead of a price move. For example, a large increase in sentiment should be seen as positive even if the underlying stock has a low absolute sentiment, while a large decrease in sentiment should be seen as negative even if the underlying security has a high absolute sentiment.
For this analysis, we will use sentiment generated by the web application, Piqqem. Piqqem captures, processes, and displays sentiment results by allowing its users to vote on the price direction of a stock and then applies its own propriety factors to calculate sentiment for a security. In their model, a scale of -100 to 100 is used with -100 representing the lowest level of sentiment and 100 representing the highest level of sentiment.
Ford (F) is scheduled to release Q1 earnings this Thursday January 28th, before the market opens.
Average analyst estimates for the US Automaker are $.26/share in EPS and $32.6 billion in Revenue.Thirteen analysts track the stock with four upward EPS revisions in the last 30 days and no downward EPS revisions in the last 30 days.
Last quarter, Ford beat average analysts expectations by.38/share or 317%, .26/share vs. -.12/share.
I always find this a tough period waiting to see if the company is going meet, exceed, or miss their earnings estimates.One thing I have discovered of value is to analyze sentiment moves in a stock ahead of the company’s earnings release.In the case of Ford, I will use the piqqem sentiment index for Ford to see how sentiment has changed in the last quarter, for the months within that quarter, and from the end of the reporting quarter thru today.
I’m looking for moves or changes that may foreshadow the earning release.(piqqem leverages the ‘wisdom of crowds’ by allowing its users to vote on the price direction of a stock and then applies its own propriety factors to calculate sentiment for a security. In their model, -100 is the lowest and 100 is the highest sentiment).
The above chart shows Ford’s sentiment rising by 26 pts from November 30, 2009 thru today. The chart also shows a 15 pt increase in sentiment from the end of Q4 thru today. This last indicator has historically been the most accurate indicator regarding an earnings surprise, both upside and downside. Sentiment for the S&P is flat so far this year and down 13 pts from November 30, 2009 thru today. On the Piqqem scale, Ford’s sentiment rating of 47.76 is considered a buy and its absolute sentiment indicates a high quality stock. Only Ford knows their actual results, but their current sentiment points to Ford releasing earnings above estimates on Thursday.
Netflix (NFLX) is scheduled to release Q1 earnings this Wednesday January 27th, after the market close.
Average analyst estimates for the mail order DVD provider are $.45/share in EPS and $445.62 million in Revenue.Thirty-one analysts track the stock with two upward EPS revisions in the last 30 days and no downward EPS revisions in the last 30 days.
Last quarter, Netflix beat average analysts expectations by .06/share or 13%, .52/share vs. .46/share.
I always find this a tough period waiting to see if the company is going meet, exceed, or miss their earnings estimates.One thing I have discovered of value is to analyze sentiment moves in a stock ahead of the company’s earnings release.In the case of Netflix, I will use the piqqem sentiment index for Netflix to see how sentiment has changed in the last quarter, for the months within that quarter, and from the end of the reporting quarter thru today.
I’m looking for moves or changes that may foreshadow the earning release.(piqqem leverages the ‘wisdom of crowds’ by allowing its users to vote on the price direction of a stock and then applies its own propriety factors to calculate sentiment for a security. In their model, -100 is the lowest and 100 is the highest sentiment).
The above chart shows Netflix’s sentiment rising 9pts from the beginning of the quarter thru December 31, 2009. The chart also shows a 2 pt drop in sentiment from the end of Q4 thru today. This last indicator has historically been the most accurate indicator regarding an earnings surprise, both upside and downside, although I would attribute this small decline to overall market conditions.Sentiment for the S&P is down 2 pts so far this year. On the Piqqem scale, Netflix’s sentiment rating of 22.64 is considered a buy and absolute sentiment indicates a quality stock. Only Netflix knows their actual results, but their current sentiment points to Netflix meeting or beating estimated earnings on Wednesday.
Yahoo! (YHOO) is scheduled to release Q1 earnings this Tuesday January 26th, after the market close.
Average analyst estimates for the internet services provider are $.11/share in EPS and $1.23 billion in Revenue.Twenty-Nine analysts track the stock with no upward EPS revisions in the last 30 days and no downward EPS revisions in the last 30 days.
Last quarter, Yahoo! beat average analysts expectations by .06/share or 85.7%, .13/share vs. .07/share.
I always find this a tough period waiting to see if the company is going meet, exceed, or miss their earnings estimates.One thing I have discovered of value is to analyze sentiment moves in a stock ahead of the company’s earnings release.In the case of Yahoo!, I will use the piqqem sentiment index for Yahoo! to see how sentiment has changed in the last quarter, for the months within that quarter, and from the end of the reporting quarter thru today.
I’m looking for moves or changes that may foreshadow the earning release.(piqqem leverages the ‘wisdom of crowds’ by allowing its users to vote on the price direction of a stock and then applies its own propriety factors to calculate sentiment for a security. In their model, -100 is the lowest and 100 is the highest sentiment).
The above chart shows Yahoo!’s sentiment peaking on November 30, 2009 and then dropping 11 pts thru today. The chart also shows a 3 pt drop in sentiment from the end of Q4 thru today. This last indicator has historically been the most accurate indicator regarding an earnings surprise, both upside and downside, although I would attribute some of this decline to overall market conditions.Sentiment for the S&P is down 2 pts so far this year and down 16 pts from November 30, 2009 thru today. On the Piqqem scale, Yahoo!’s sentiment rating of -2.14 is considered a hold and absolute sentiment indicates a less than quality stock. Only Yahoo! knows their actual results, but their current sentiment points to Yahoo! releasing earnings in a narrow range around estimates on Tuesday.
For the week ending January 22, 2010, Ford (F) was biggest sentiment loser with a steep 16 point decrease in their Piqqem sentiment index, Genzyme(GENZ) came in at second with a disappointing 10 pt decrease in sentiment, and Citi (C) also had their sentiment drop by 10 pts.
Change in sentiment provides a timing mechanism to understand underlying changes in a security potentially ahead of a price move. For example, a large increase in sentiment should be seen as positive even if the underlying stock has a low absolute sentiment, while a large decrease in sentiment should be seen as negative even if the underlying security has a high absolute sentiment.
For this analysis, we will use sentiment generated by the web application, Piqqem. Piqqem captures, processes, and displays sentiment results by allowing its users to vote on the price direction of a stock and then applies its own propriety factors to calculate sentiment for a security. In their model, a scale of -100 to 100 is used with -100 representing the lowest level of sentiment and 100 representing the highest level of sentiment.
For the week ending January 22, 2010 Sirius (SIRI) lead all sentiment gainers for the second week in a row with an explosive 29 pt increase in their Piqqem sentiment index, E-Trade (ETFC) came in second for the second week in a row with an impressive 27 pt increase in sentiment, and US Oil (USO) saw their sentiment increase by 18 pts.
Change in sentiment provides a timing mechanism to understand underlying changes in a security potentially ahead of a price move. For example, a large increase in sentiment should be seen as positive even if the underlying stock has a low absolute sentiment, while a large decrease in sentiment should be seen as negative even if the underlying security has a high absolute sentiment.
For this analysis, we will use sentiment generated by the web application, Piqqem. Piqqem captures, processes, and displays sentiment results by allowing its users to vote on the price direction of a stock and then applies its own propriety factors to calculate sentiment for a security. In their model, a scale of -100 to 100 is used with -100 representing the lowest level of sentiment and 100 representing the highest level of sentiment.
